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verbalized-confidence

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prakulhiremath / CDUR

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How Chain-of-Thought Budgets Induce Overconfidence in LLMs. Investigating Calibration Drift Under Reasoning (CDUR), hypothesis lock-in mechanisms, and dynamic token budgeting via the CABStop optimal stopping algorithm.

uncertainty-estimation self-consistency ai-alignment optimal-stopping chain-of-thought autoregressive-generation inference-time-scaling expected-calibration-error verbalized-confidence compute-budget
  • Updated Jun 16, 2026
  • Python

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