research: X social discovery harvest run (candidate claims only, public URLs, date precision)

[ruemic]

Public X/social discovery harvest only. This PR records candidate social signals for the watched Frontier projects without promoting any claim into findings, signals, digests, or profiles.

What changed:

• Adds runs/2026-06-24-x-social-harvest-2026-06-24-frontier-v0/ with manifest.yml, harvest/*.md, verify/*.md, qa.md, research-journal.md, and social-cards/x-cards.yml.
• Records 15 candidate harvest claims across 10 watchlist projects.
• Adds 8 static social receipt cards for exact-dated X/social items. These render from repo data only, link to the source posts, and do not load Twitter/X embeds or scripts at runtime.
• Adds a drama/code follow-up receipt map in verify/drama-code-followup.md so each GitHub release, PR, or official changelog receipt is tied to the exact bounded claim it supports.
• Upgrades only narrow, source-backed social cards: Gemini Antigravity transition/migration support and Claude Code 2.1.187 release-note items. OpenHands ACP remains partial, Paperclip Maximizer remains maintainer intent, and OpenClaw/Hermes governance tension remains unverified social context.
• Surfaces verify/*.md files in the run artifact list so the follow-up receipts are visible from the generated run page.
• Adds docs/deep-social-research-loop.md and strengthens docs/x-social-harvest-workflow.md with the scout/critic/editor loop, receipt-to-claim mapping, reputational-claim firewall, and counterweight search rule.
• Adds site/src/components/SocialReceiptCards.astro and run-page data plumbing so social cards appear on run pages as archived evidence cards.
• Removes the loose unreceipted research/*-x-insights-2026-06-24.md narrative files from the original PR shape.

Boundaries:

• This is discovery input only.
• Product/version/capability claims still require source-contract cross-checks before promotion.
• Drama/public-exchange cards are ecosystem context; they do not assign motives or verify governance claims.
• Static cards receipt that a public post exists on a date. The claim inside the post remains unverified unless separately supported.
• A secondary receipt upgrades only the exact bounded claim it proves; it cannot validate a different claim from the same project.
• No local paths, session IDs, private prompts, raw private API payloads, or internal reviewer details are included.

Loop notes:

• Hermes was used for X-native scout passes.
• A skeptical critic pass rejected inferred-date, tracker-metric, self-referential, and overclaimed material.
• A drama-specific follow-up found interesting social leads, but kept OpenClaw/Hermes governance tension, Gemini quota pain, and OpenClaw reliability complaints journal-only unless source receipts supported the exact claim.
• Public code/release follow-up verified Gemini transition/migration affordances, Claude Code 2.1.187 release-note items, OpenHands ACP partial support, Paperclip OpenClaw/Hermes interoperability work, and OpenClaw reliability-fix counterweight.

Checks:

• git diff --check
• node site/scripts/check-integrity.mjs
• npm --prefix site run check (0 errors; existing hint for an unused redirectChain local)
• npm --prefix site run build
• Rendered HTML sanity check for the run page showing upgraded cards and verify/*.md artifacts

[ruemic]

Updated PR with structured run per review feedback:

• Replaced loose research/*-x-insights files with proper run under runs/2026-06-24-x-social-harvest-2026-06-24-frontier-v0/
• Added manifest.yml, qa.md, and structured harvest/ files
• Every claim now includes primary_url, author, observed_at, evidence_kind, channel, and status (candidate or single-source-unconfirmed)
• Removed all editorial/promotion language
• Discovery input only — no findings promoted
• No trailing whitespace issues in new files

This directly addresses the evidence model, receipt, and artifact chain concerns.