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816 changes: 816 additions & 0 deletions md/about_details.html

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133 changes: 66 additions & 67 deletions md/about_details.md
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### Overview

This website presents a set of different scenarios of future population and human capital trends in 201 countries of the world to 2100. The result of the population projections by levels of educational attainment were published in 2018 in <a href="https://ec.europa.eu/jrc/en/publication/demographic-and-human-capital-scenarios-21st-century-2018-assessment-201-countries">Lutz, Goujon, KC, Stonawski, and Stilianakis (Eds.) (2018)</a>. They provide an update of the projections (scope, coverage and quality) presented in <a href="https://global.oup.com/academic/product/world-population-and-human-capital-in-the-twenty-first-century-9780198703167?cc=at&lang=en&">Lutz, Butz and KC in 2014</a>, based on the work of a large team of researchers at the <a href="http://www.wittgensteincentre.org" target="_blank_">Wittgenstein Centre</a> for Demography and Global Human Capital and at other institutions.
This website presents the 2023 revision of the Wittgenstein Centre population projections (Version 3), following the initial projections (Version 1) in 2013 ([Lutz, Butz, and KC (Eds.) 2014)](https://global.oup.com/academic/product/world-population-and-human-capital-in-the-twenty-first-century-9780198703167?cc=at&lang=en&) and the 2018 update (Version 2) ([Lutz, Goujon, KC, Stonawski, and, Stilianakis (Eds.) 2018](https://op.europa.eu/en/publication-detail/-/publication/e1853ba8-4444-11e8-a9f4-01aa75ed71a1/language-en)). Further details on the updates and the revisions can be found in KC et al. (2024) and in other satellite papers focusing on the migration component ([Yildiz and Abel 2024] (https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/19399/1/WP-24-001.pdf)), the mortality component (Moradhvaj and KC 2024 - forthcoming), and the fertility component (Adhikari et al. 2024 - forthcoming).

The present version (2.0) benefited from the partnership with the Joint Research Centre in the Centre of Expertise on Population and Migration <a href="http://www.iiasa.ac.at/web/home/research/researchPrograms/WorldPopulation/Research/Centre_of_Expertise_on_Population_and_Migration.html">(CEPAM)</a>. On top of the assumptions about future trends in fertility, mortality, and education, the projections study the effect of several migration assumptions applied to the context of the set of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) scenarios related to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change <a href="http://www.ipcc.ch/" target="_blank">(IPCC)</a>.
In 2021, [the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) scenario community](https://data.ece.iiasa.ac.at/ssp/) related to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change requested an update of the human core of the SSPs, which is at the origin of this version. This updated version is based on 2020 as the reference year, with adjustments to certain short-term assumptions extending to 2030. However, most long-term assumptions have not been changed. Several changes were nevertheless implemented particularly in estimating and using country-specific education differentials in mortality and migration.

The new version also includes the reconstruction of population by levels of educational attainment from 1950 to 2015 for 185 countries. More information in <a href="https://www.oeaw.ac.at/fileadmin/subsites/Institute/VID/IMG/Publications/Working_Papers/WP2019_02.pdf">Speringer et al. 2019</a>.
This new version includes population projections by levels of educational attainment from 2020 to 2100 for 200 countries according to five scenarios (SSP1-5). The reconstruction will become available in the course of 2024.

### Citation

The suggested citation for data and plots from this website is:

Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital, (2018). *Wittgenstein Centre Data Explorer Version 2.0.* Available at: <a href="http://www.wittgensteincentre.org/dataexplorer">http://www.wittgensteincentre.org/dataexplorer</a>

Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital, (2023). *Wittgenstein Centre Data Explorer Version 3.0.* Available at: <http://www.wittgensteincentre.org/dataexplorer>

### R package

Expand All @@ -23,33 +22,30 @@ Data Explorer Team at the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Ca

Concept and Coordination:

* <a href="http://www.iiasa.ac.at/staff/staff.php?type=auto&visibility=visible&search=true&login=abel">Guy J. Abel</a>

* <a href="http://www.iiasa.ac.at/staff/staff.php?type=auto&visibility=visible&search=true&login=reiter">Claudia Reiter</a>
- [Guy J. Abel](https://iiasa.ac.at/staff/guy-abel)

* <a href="https://www.oeaw.ac.at/vid/people/staff/dilek-yildiz/">Dilek Yildiz</a>

* <a href="https://www.oeaw.ac.at/en/vid/people/staff/anne-goujon/">Anne Goujon</a>
- [Dilek Yildiz](https://iiasa.ac.at/staff/dilek-yildiz)

- [Anne Goujon](https://iiasa.ac.at/staff/anne-goujon)

Data:

* <a href="http://www.iiasa.ac.at/staff/staff.php?type=auto&visibility=visible&search=true&login=kc" target="_blank">Samir K.C.</a>
- [Samir K.C.](https://iiasa.ac.at/staff/samir-kc)

Web Interface:

* <a href="http://www.iiasa.ac.at/staff/staff.php?type=auto&visibility=visible&search=true&login=abel" target="_blank">Guy J. Abel</a>

* <a href="http://www.wittgensteincentre.org/en/staff/member/rengs.htm" target="_blank">Bernhard Rengs</a>
- [Guy J. Abel](https://iiasa.ac.at/staff/guy-abel)

- [Bernhard Rengs](https://www.oeaw.ac.at/vid/people/staff/bernhard-rengs)

Researchers who participated in the development of the projections:


<dl>
<table border="0" width="100%" style="margin-left:25px">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>M. Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi</td>
<td>M. Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi <sup>a</sup></td>
<td>Michel Guillot</td>
<td>Richard G. Rogers</td>
</tr>
Expand All @@ -59,148 +55,151 @@ Researchers who participated in the development of the projections:
<td>Anna Rotkirch</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Alicia Adsera</td>
<td>Saroja Adhikari</td>
<td>Gavin Jones</td>
<td>Patrick Sabourin<sup> a, b</sup></td>
<td>Patrick Sabourin <sup>a</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bilal F. Barakat<sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Alicia Adsera</td>
<td>Sandra Jurasszovich</td>
<td>Nikola Sander</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Stuart Basten</td>
<td>Samir K.C.<sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Bilal F. Barakat</td>
<td>Samir KC <sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Warren C. Sanderson<sup> a</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ramon Bauer</td>
<td>Stuart Basten</td>
<td>James K.S.</td>
<td>Zeba Sathar</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jan Van Bavel</td>
<td>Ramon Bauer</td>
<td>Siew-Ean Khoo</td>
<td>Sergei Scherbov<sup> a</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Alain B&eacute;langer<sup> a, b</sup></td>
<td>Jan Van Bavel</td>
<td>Henri Leridon</td>
<td>Bruno Schoumaker</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Donatien Beguy</td>
<td>Elke Loichinger<sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Alain B&eacute;langer</td>
<td>Elke Loichinger<sup></td>
<td>David Shapiro</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Caroline Berghammer<sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Donatien Beguy</td>
<td>Marc Luy<sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Vegard Skirbekk</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ayla Bonfiglio</td>
<td>Wolfgang Lutz<sup> a, b</sup></td>
<td>Caroline Berghammer<sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Wolfgang Lutz<sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Tomas Sobotka<sup> a</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>William P. Butz</td>
<td>Guillaume Marois<sup> a, b</sup></td>
<td>Ayla Bonfiglio</td>
<td>Marija Mamolo <sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Markus Speringer</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>William P. Butz</td>
<td>Guillaume Marois<sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Nikolaos Stilianakis</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Graziella Caselli</td>
<td>Douglas Massey</td>
<td>Nikolaos Stilianakis<sup> b</sup></td>
<td>Marcin Stonawski<sup> a</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>John Casterline</td>
<td>Bruno Masquelier</td>
<td>Marcin Stonawski<sup> a, b</sup></td>
<td>Erich Striessnig<sup> a</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Teresa Castro-Martin</td>
<td>John F. May</td>
<td>Erich Striessnig<sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Christian Wegner-Siegmundt</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Minja Kim Choe</td>
<td>Blessing Mberu</td>
<td>Christian Wegner-Siegmundt<sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Maria Rita Testa</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Alessandra Conte<sup> b</sup></td>
<td>Alessandra Conte</td>
<td>France Mesl&eacute;</td>
<td>Maria Rita Testa<sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Olivier Th&eacute;venon</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sven Drefahl</td>
<td>Moradhvaj Dhakad <sup>a</sup></td>
<td>Melinda Mills</td>
<td>Olivier Th&eacute;venon</td>
<td>Edward Jow-Ching Tu</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Rachel E. Durham</td>
<td>Sven Drefahl</td>
<td>S. Philip Morgan</td>
<td>Edward Jow-Ching Tu</td>
<td>Laura Wong</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jakob Eder</td>
<td>Rachel E. Durham</td>
<td>Elsie Pamuk</td>
<td>Laura Wong</td>
<td>Marcus Wurzer</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Regina Fuchs </td>
<td>Michaela Potan&ccaron;okov&aacute;<sup> a, b</sup></td>
<td>Marcus Wurzer</td>
<td>Jakob Eder</td>
<td>Michaela Potan&ccaron;okov&aacute;<sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Brenda Yepez-Martinez</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Regina Fuchs</td>
<td>Wendy Vanesa Ramírez González<sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Dilek Yildiz<sup> a</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tomas Frejka</td>
<td>Claudia Reiter<sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Brenda Yepez-Martinez</td>
<td>Sam Hyun Yoo</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Alessandra Garbero</td>
<td>Ronald R. Rindfuss</td>
<td>Dilek Yildiz<sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Cuiling Zhang</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Michel Garenne</td>
<td>Fernando Riosmena</td>
<td>Sam Hyun Yoo</td>
<td>Krystof Zeman<sup> a</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Anne Goujon<sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Louis Rosero-Bixby</td>
<td>Kry&scaron;tof Zeman<sup> a</sup></td>
<td>Zhongwei Zhao</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Erofili Grapsa<sup> b</sup></td>
<td>Erofili Grapsa</td>
<td>Arodys Robles</td>
<td>Zhongwei Zhao</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><sup>a</sup> Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><sup>b</sup> Centre of Expertise on Population and Migration (CEPAM), Joint Research Center</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</dl>

Web interface built using:


Web interface built using:

* <a href="http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/shiny" target="_blank">shiny</a>: Chang, W., Cheng J., Allaire, J.J., Xie, Y. & McPherson, J. (2018). shiny: Web Application Framework for R. R package version 1.1.0

- <a href="http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/shiny" target="_blank">shiny</a>: Chang, W., Cheng J., Allaire, J.J., Xie, Y. & McPherson, J. (2018). shiny: Web Application Framework for R. R package version 1.1.0

Additional R packages used for data manipulations and visualisation:

* <a href="http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/dplyr" target="_blank">dplyr</a>: Wickham, H., Francois, R., Henry, L. and M&uuml;ller K. (2018). dplyr: A Grammar of Data Manipulation. R package version 0.7.6.
* <a href="http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/googleVis" target="_blank">googleVis</a>: Gesmann, M., & de Castillo, D. (2011). Using the Google visualisation API with R. *The R Journal*, 3(2), 40-44.
* <a href="http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/magrittr" target="_blank">magrittr</a>: Bache, S.M. & Wickham, H. (2015). magrittr: A Forward-Pipe Operator for R. R package version 1.5
* <a href="http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/markdown" target="_blank">markdown</a>: Allaire, J.J., Horner, J., Marti, V. & Porte, N. (2015). markdown: Markdown rendering for R. R package version 0.7.4
* <a href="http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/tidyr" target="_blank">tidyr</a>: Wickham, H. & Henry, L. (2018). tidyr: Easily Tidy Data with 'spread()' and 'gather()' Functions. R package version 0.8.1.
* <a href="http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/saves" target="_blank">saves</a>: Dar&oacute;czi, G. (2013). saves: Fast load variables. R package version 0.5
* <a href="http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/webshot" target="_blank">webshot</a>: Chang, W. (2017). webshot: Take Screenshots of Web Pages. R package version 0.5
- <a href="http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/dplyr" target="_blank">dplyr</a>: Wickham, H., Francois, R., Henry, L. and Müller K. (2018). dplyr: A Grammar of Data Manipulation. R package version 0.7.6.
- <a href="http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/googleVis" target="_blank">googleVis</a>: Gesmann, M., & de Castillo, D. (2011). Using the Google visualisation API with R. *The R Journal*, 3(2), 40-44.
- <a href="http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/magrittr" target="_blank">magrittr</a>: Bache, S.M. & Wickham, H. (2015). magrittr: A Forward-Pipe Operator for R. R package version 1.5
- <a href="http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/markdown" target="_blank">markdown</a>: Allaire, J.J., Horner, J., Marti, V. & Porte, N. (2015). markdown: Markdown rendering for R. R package version 0.7.4
- <a href="http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/tidyr" target="_blank">tidyr</a>: Wickham, H. & Henry, L. (2018). tidyr: Easily Tidy Data with 'spread()' and 'gather()' Functions. R package version 0.8.1.
- <a href="http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/saves" target="_blank">saves</a>: Daróczi, G. (2013). saves: Fast load variables. R package version 0.5
- <a href="http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/webshot" target="_blank">webshot</a>: Chang, W. (2017). webshot: Take Screenshots of Web Pages. R package version 0.5
2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions md/about_edu.md
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For further details see:

* KC et al. (2024). Updating the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) Global Population and Human Capital Projections. *IIASA Working Paper*.

* Speringer et al. (2019). <a href="https://www.oeaw.ac.at/fileadmin/subsites/Institute/VID/IMG/Publications/Working_Papers/WP2019_02.pdf" target="_blank">Global Reconstruction of Educational Attainment, 1950 to 2015: Methodology and Assessment.</a> (VID Working Paper 02/2019). *Vienna, Austria: Vienna Institute of Demography (VID/O&Auml;AW)*.
2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions md/about_scenario.md
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For further details see:

* KC et al. (2024). Updating the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) Global Population and Human Capital Projections. *IIASA Working Paper*.

* O'Neill, B.C., Kriegler, E., Ebi, K.L., Kemp-Benedict, E., Riahi, K. (2014). <a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378015000060" target="_blank">The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century.</a> *Global Environmental Change*.

* Riahi, K., van Vuuren, D.P., Kriegler, E., Edmonds, J., O'Neill, B.C., Fujimori, S. et al (2017). <a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016300681" target="_blank">The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview.</a> *Global Environmental Change*.
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