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Prioritize CTC fiscal target calibration#90

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MaxGhenis merged 2 commits into
mainfrom
codex/ctc-target-weight-20260617
Jun 17, 2026
Merged

Prioritize CTC fiscal target calibration#90
MaxGhenis merged 2 commits into
mainfrom
codex/ctc-target-weight-20260617

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Summary

  • boost direct CTC total calibration loss weight using structured target_role metadata
  • require direct CTC total in the US fiscal target coverage gate
  • add CTC amount to builder and release-contract critical fit gates at 20% max relative error

Validation

  • uvx ruff check tools/build_us_fiscal_refresh_release.py packages/populace-build/src/populace/build/us/fiscal_targets.py packages/populace-build/tests/test_us_fiscal_refresh_builder.py packages/populace-build/tests/test_us_fiscal_targets.py packages/populace-data/src/populace/data/contract.py packages/populace-data/tests/test_contract.py
  • .venv/bin/python -m pytest packages/populace-build/tests/test_us_fiscal_refresh_builder.py packages/populace-build/tests/test_us_fiscal_targets.py packages/populace-data/tests/test_contract.py -q

Notes

  • Real 2024 Ledger target registry check: ctc_total weight 19.2116, EITC weight 1.3726, ACTC weight 0.7850.
  • A 64-epoch local smoke was stopped before solve because target-frame materialization pushed swap to 10.3/11.3 GB; no release artifact was produced.

@MaxGhenis MaxGhenis merged commit 843f1e0 into main Jun 17, 2026
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@MaxGhenis MaxGhenis deleted the codex/ctc-target-weight-20260617 branch June 17, 2026 14:00
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