PatMyron · github-actions · Jul 12, 2026
diff --git a/forecastEx/pairs.csv b/forecastEx/pairs.csv
diff --git a/forecastEx/prices.csv b/forecastEx/prices.csv
diff --git a/manifold/ce.txt b/manifold/ce.txt
@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+0.2978800682202933
+paw 0.27017508772054427
+media 0.32558504872004224
diff --git a/manifold/extreme.json b/manifold/extreme.json
@@ -0,0 +1,331 @@
+[
+	{
+		"id": "unqgz6qCnc",
+		"creatorId": "Dnd4nISskVOAwBs1jXNsPqVTQ5y1",
+		"creatorUsername": "StevetptC8",
+		"creatorName": "Steve",
+		"createdTime": 1783784097404,
+		"creatorAvatarUrl": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FStevetptC8%2F5EOtLNqRO0.jpg?alt=media&token=19c07920-3aa8-498a-a3d0-0c0034f44686",
+		"closeTime": 1783810200000,
+		"question": "How much stoppage time will there be at the end of the England v Norway World Cup match?",
+		"slug": "how-much-stoppage-time-will-there-b",
+		"url": "https://manifold.markets/StevetptC8/how-much-stoppage-time-will-there-b",
+		"totalLiquidity": 1000,
+		"outcomeType": "MULTI_NUMERIC",
+		"mechanism": "cpmm-multi-1",
+		"volume": 3063.026165006949,
+		"volume24Hours": 3063.026165006949,
+		"isResolved": true,
+		"resolution": "MKT",
+		"resolutionTime": 1783810444468,
+		"resolutionProbability": 0.15836298794414427,
+		"resolverId": "Dnd4nISskVOAwBs1jXNsPqVTQ5y1",
+		"uniqueBettorCount": 7,
+		"lastUpdatedTime": 1783810200000,
+		"lastBetTime": 1783810097629,
+		"token": "MANA",
+		"shouldAnswersSumToOne": false,
+		"addAnswersMode": "DISABLED",
+		"answers": [
+			{
+				"id": "hcC88dUytU",
+				"index": 0,
+				"contractId": "unqgz6qCnc",
+				"userId": "Dnd4nISskVOAwBs1jXNsPqVTQ5y1",
+				"text": "4+ minutes",
+				"createdTime": 1783784097404,
+				"totalLiquidity": 250,
+				"subsidyPool": 0,
+				"isOther": false,
+				"resolution": "YES",
+				"resolutionTime": 1783810438403,
+				"resolutionProbability": 0.9900000000000001,
+				"resolverId": "Dnd4nISskVOAwBs1jXNsPqVTQ5y1",
+				"probChanges": {
+					"day": 0.5,
+					"week": 0.5,
+					"month": 0.9900000000000001
+				},
+				"midpoint": 5,
+				"volume": 2237.4685927665478,
+				"pool": {
+					"YES": 25.12594538148028,
+					"NO": 2487.4685927665478
+				},
+				"probability": 1
+			},
+			{
+				"id": "N9EzzUQAc8",
+				"index": 1,
+				"contractId": "unqgz6qCnc",
+				"userId": "Dnd4nISskVOAwBs1jXNsPqVTQ5y1",
+				"text": "6+ minutes",
+				"createdTime": 1783784097404,
+				"totalLiquidity": 250,
+				"subsidyPool": 0,
+				"isOther": false,
+				"resolution": "YES",
+				"resolutionTime": 1783810442717,
+				"resolutionProbability": 0.7252941840900428,
+				"resolverId": "Dnd4nISskVOAwBs1jXNsPqVTQ5y1",
+				"probChanges": {
+					"day": 0.5,
+					"week": 0.5,
+					"month": 0.7057737357713435
+				},
+				"midpoint": 7,
+				"volume": 156.22175592450748,
+				"pool": {
+					"YES": 153.8568505710831,
+					"NO": 406.2217559245075
+				},
+				"probability": 1
+			},
+			{
+				"id": "qqhLg6OPn8",
+				"index": 2,
+				"contractId": "unqgz6qCnc",
+				"userId": "Dnd4nISskVOAwBs1jXNsPqVTQ5y1",
+				"text": "8+ minutes",
+				"createdTime": 1783784097404,
+				"totalLiquidity": 250,
+				"subsidyPool": 0,
+				"isOther": false,
+				"resolution": "NO",
+				"resolutionTime": 1783810443771,
+				"resolutionProbability": 0.3791671409254843,
+				"resolverId": "Dnd4nISskVOAwBs1jXNsPqVTQ5y1",
+				"probChanges": {
+					"day": -0.5,
+					"week": -0.5,
+					"month": 0.40999999999999986
+				},
+				"midpoint": 9,
+				"volume": 237.3358163158939,
+				"pool": {
+					"YES": 319.8983567648278,
+					"NO": 195.37455781914704
+				},
+				"probability": 0
+			},
+			{
+				"id": "nI2lhCp6d6",
+				"index": 3,
+				"contractId": "unqgz6qCnc",
+				"userId": "Dnd4nISskVOAwBs1jXNsPqVTQ5y1",
+				"text": "10+ minutes",
+				"createdTime": 1783784097404,
+				"totalLiquidity": 250,
+				"subsidyPool": 0,
+				"isOther": false,
+				"resolution": "NO",
+				"resolutionTime": 1783810444468,
+				"resolutionProbability": 0.15836298794414427,
+				"resolverId": "Dnd4nISskVOAwBs1jXNsPqVTQ5y1",
+				"probChanges": {
+					"day": -0.5,
+					"week": -0.5,
+					"month": 0.21596722031442453
+				},
+				"midpoint": 10,
+				"volume": 432,
+				"pool": {
+					"YES": 576.3357743422837,
+					"NO": 108.44372808771973
+				},
+				"probability": 0
+			}
+		],
+		"description": {
+			"type": "doc",
+			"content": [
+				{
+					"type": "paragraph",
+					"content": [
+						{
+							"text": "This market will resolve to the total amount of ",
+							"type": "text"
+						},
+						{
+							"text": "announced",
+							"type": "text",
+							"marks": [
+								{
+									"type": "bold"
+								}
+							]
+						},
+						{
+							"text": " stoppage time at the 90 minute mark of the England v Norway 2026 World Cup match. If the total amount is 3 minutes all answers will resolve \"No\".",
+							"type": "text"
+						}
+					]
+				},
+				{
+					"type": "paragraph"
+				},
+				{
+					"type": "paragraph",
+					"content": [
+						{
+							"text": "Market will close a few minutes before the official announcement.",
+							"type": "text"
+						}
+					]
+				}
+			]
+		},
+		"groupSlugs": [
+			"2026-fifa-world-cup",
+			"fifa-world-cup-props",
+			"soccer",
+			"sports-betting",
+			"sports-default"
+		],
+		"textDescription": "This market will resolve to the total amount of announced stoppage time at the 90 minute mark of the England v Norway 2026 World Cup match. If the total amount is 3 minutes all answers will resolve \"No\".\n\nMarket will close a few minutes before the official announcement."
+	},
+	{
+		"id": "jkeJxRSaBxeUrRpvUu4J",
+		"creatorId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2",
+		"creatorUsername": "egroj",
+		"creatorName": "JAAM",
+		"createdTime": 1671391788189,
+		"creatorAvatarUrl": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fjorge%2F6eta_wBPT5.png?alt=media&token=2d5f9149-6e77-4307-83f7-a770bebe9686",
+		"closeTime": 1785470340000,
+		"question": "Will a previous winner of the World Cup win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
+		"slug": "will-a-previous-winner-of-the-world-0c2e4c1fa9ca",
+		"url": "https://manifold.markets/egroj/will-a-previous-winner-of-the-world-0c2e4c1fa9ca",
+		"pool": {
+			"NO": 8940.924287047565,
+			"YES": 585.897952284623
+		},
+		"probability": 0.9845824421483069,
+		"p": 0.8071290156054847,
+		"totalLiquidity": 1000,
+		"outcomeType": "BINARY",
+		"mechanism": "cpmm-1",
+		"volume": 39133.54482557877,
+		"volume24Hours": 11737.982431070632,
+		"isResolved": false,
+		"uniqueBettorCount": 81,
+		"lastUpdatedTime": 1783826580411,
+		"lastBetTime": 1783826580411,
+		"lastCommentTime": 1783815141877,
+		"token": "MANA",
+		"description": {
+			"type": "doc",
+			"content": [
+				{
+					"type": "paragraph",
+					"content": [
+						{
+							"text": "Resolves YES if the winner of 2026 FIFA World Cup is Brazil, Germany, Italy, Argentina, France, Uruguay, Spain, or England.",
+							"type": "text"
+						}
+					]
+				}
+			]
+		},
+		"coverImageUrl": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FeaQzxGGswz.png?alt=media&token=f67bf777-d351-462c-8b1d-4799854abd77",
+		"groupSlugs": [
+			"2026-fifa-world-cup"
+		],
+		"textDescription": "Resolves YES if the winner of 2026 FIFA World Cup is Brazil, Germany, Italy, Argentina, France, Uruguay, Spain, or England."
+	},
+	{
+		"id": "l5sntA2EOt",
+		"creatorId": "OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133",
+		"creatorUsername": "jim",
+		"creatorName": "jim",
+		"createdTime": 1783768739885,
+		"creatorAvatarUrl": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fjim%2Fs683etIf3B.jpg?alt=media&token=48689783-1735-4612-b9bd-1f9dcd4cd13f",
+		"closeTime": 1797551940000,
+		"question": "will i get uploaded before dune 3",
+		"slug": "will-i-get-uploaded-before-dune-3",
+		"url": "https://manifold.markets/jim/will-i-get-uploaded-before-dune-3",
+		"pool": {
+			"NO": 10.050378152592089,
+			"YES": 994.9874371066203
+		},
+		"probability": 0.009999999999999966,
+		"p": 0.5,
+		"totalLiquidity": 100,
+		"outcomeType": "BINARY",
+		"mechanism": "cpmm-1",
+		"volume": 907.3608436567902,
+		"volume24Hours": 907.3608436567903,
+		"isResolved": false,
+		"uniqueBettorCount": 6,
+		"lastUpdatedTime": 1783824231211,
+		"lastBetTime": 1783824209595,
+		"lastCommentTime": 1783824231188,
+		"token": "MANA",
+		"description": {
+			"type": "doc",
+			"content": [
+				{
+					"type": "paragraph"
+				}
+			]
+		},
+		"groupSlugs": [
+			"will-i",
+			"youtube",
+			"personal",
+			"personal-goals",
+			"nonpredictive"
+		],
+		"textDescription": ""
+	},
+	{
+		"id": "AlpcOquEPP",
+		"creatorId": "6PIeI9XVQqcDygVWOacmxWhED8R2",
+		"creatorUsername": "Seedss",
+		"creatorName": "Seedss",
+		"createdTime": 1783645615928,
+		"creatorAvatarUrl": "https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKCJQcvSACHoHqehclwcIpk45T3XMWckgDLLAUU1NzfuYtcaw=s96-c",
+		"closeTime": 1784505540000,
+		"question": "Will Norway win the Worldcup 2026",
+		"slug": "will-norway-win-the-worldcup-2026",
+		"url": "https://manifold.markets/Seedss/will-norway-win-the-worldcup-2026",
+		"pool": {
+			"NO": 0.8245907794962477,
+			"YES": 781.7009754484565
+		},
+		"probability": 0.0024553135767451844,
+		"p": 0.7000000000000002,
+		"totalLiquidity": 100,
+		"outcomeType": "BINARY",
+		"mechanism": "cpmm-1",
+		"volume": 2324.8847247554518,
+		"volume24Hours": 573.0985574510324,
+		"isResolved": false,
+		"uniqueBettorCount": 30,
+		"lastUpdatedTime": 1783814265262,
+		"lastBetTime": 1783814265262,
+		"lastCommentTime": 1783724964845,
+		"token": "MANA",
+		"description": {
+			"type": "doc",
+			"content": [
+				{
+					"type": "paragraph",
+					"content": [
+						{
+							"text": "Norway will win this Worldcup. Lock in 🚀",
+							"type": "text"
+						}
+					]
+				}
+			]
+		},
+		"groupSlugs": [
+			"fifa-world-cup",
+			"sports-default",
+			"sports-betting",
+			"2026-fifa-world-cup",
+			"soccer"
+		],
+		"textDescription": "Norway will win this Worldcup. Lock in 🚀"
+	}
+]
diff --git a/manifold/losers.json b/manifold/losers.json
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+[]