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import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import tensorflow as tf
import os
import time
from tensorflow.contrib import rnn
from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler
from typing import List
#%% #################### 增强型特征工程 ####################
class GeneticFeatureEngineer:
def __init__(self, genetic_factors: List[str], window_size=60):
self.genetic_factors = genetic_factors
self.window_size = window_size
self.scalers = {}
def _add_interaction_features(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
"""添加遗传因子交互特征"""
for i in range(len(self.genetic_factors)):
for j in range(i+1, len(self.genetic_factors)):
f1, f2 = self.genetic_factors[i], self.genetic_factors[j]
df[f'{f1}_x_{f2}'] = df[f1] * df[f2]
df[f'{f1}_div_{f2}'] = df[f1] / (df[f2] + 1e-6)
return df
def process(self, stock_data: pd.DataFrame) -> np.ndarray:
"""动态滚动标准化处理"""
# 合并基础特征和遗传因子
features = stock_data[['open_hfq','high_hfq','low_hfq','close_hfq'] + self.genetic_factors]
# 添加交互特征
features = self._add_interaction_features(features)
# 滚动标准化
for col in features.columns:
roll_mean = features[col].rolling(window=self.window_size, min_periods=1).mean()
roll_std = features[col].rolling(window=self.window_size, min_periods=1).std() + 1e-6
features[col] = (features[col] - roll_mean) / roll_std
return self._create_sequences(features.values)
def _create_sequences(self, data: np.ndarray, window=60) -> np.ndarray:
"""创建时间序列样本"""
sequences = []
for i in range(len(data)-window):
seq = data[i:i+window]
sequences.append(seq)
return np.array(sequences)
#%% #################### 优化后的模型架构 ####################
class EnhancedLSTMModel:
def __init__(self, input_shape, num_factors, layer_num=3, cell_num=512):
self.inputs = tf.placeholder(tf.float32, [None, input_shape[0]*input_shape[1]])
self.targets = tf.placeholder(tf.float32, [None, 1])
self.keep_prob = tf.placeholder(tf.float32)
# 动态调整输入维度
adjusted_input_dim = input_shape[1] + num_factors
# 增强的输入层
with tf.variable_scope('EnhancedInput'):
x = tf.reshape(self.inputs, [-1, input_shape[0], adjusted_input_dim])
x = tf.layers.dense(x, 256, activation=tf.nn.elu)
x = tf.layers.dropout(x, rate=self.keep_prob)
# 多尺度LSTM层
with tf.variable_scope('MultiScaleLSTM'):
cell = tf.nn.rnn_cell.MultiRNNCell([
self._build_lstm_cell(cell_num//(2**i))
for i in range(layer_num)
])
outputs, state = tf.nn.dynamic_rnn(cell, x, dtype=tf.float32)
last_output = self._attention_layer(outputs)
# 残差输出层
with tf.variable_scope('ResidualOutput'):
dense1 = tf.layers.dense(last_output, 128, activation=tf.nn.leaky_relu)
dense2 = tf.layers.dense(dense1, 64, activation=tf.nn.leaky_relu)
self.predictions = tf.layers.dense(dense2, 1)
# 自适应损失函数
self.loss = self._sharpe_aware_loss()
self.optimizer = tf.train.AdamOptimizer(learning_rate=0.0001).minimize(self.loss)
def _build_lstm_cell(self, units):
cell = rnn.LSTMCell(units)
return rnn.DropoutWrapper(cell, output_keep_prob=self.keep_prob)
def _attention_layer(self, inputs):
query = tf.layers.dense(inputs, 64, activation=tf.nn.tanh)
keys = tf.layers.dense(inputs, 64, activation=tf.nn.tanh)
attention = tf.nn.softmax(tf.matmul(query, keys, transpose_b=True))
return tf.reduce_sum(attention * inputs, axis=1)
def _sharpe_aware_loss(self):
"""基于夏普率的自适应损失函数"""
returns = self.predictions - self.targets
excess_returns = returns - tf.reduce_mean(returns)
stddev = tf.math.reduce_std(excess_returns) + 1e-6
sharpe_ratio = tf.reduce_mean(excess_returns) / stddev
return tf.reduce_mean(tf.square(returns)) - 0.1 * sharpe_ratio
#%% #################### 增强的训练流程 ####################
class EnhancedTradingSystem:
def __init__(self, genetic_factors=['turnover', 'volume', 'cir_market_value']):
self.feature_engine = GeneticFeatureEngineer(genetic_factors)
self.model = None
self.data_processor = get_stock_data()
def prepare_data(self, raw_path):
"""增强数据预处理流程"""
# 原始数据处理
self.data_processor.make_train_test_csv(orgin_data_path=raw_path)
# 遗传因子增强处理
raw_data = pd.read_csv(raw_path)
genetic_data = self.feature_engine.process(raw_data)
return genetic_data
def build_model(self, input_shape, num_factors):
"""构建混合模型"""
self.model = EnhancedLSTMModel(input_shape, num_factors)
def train(self, train_data, epochs=100, batch_size=256):
"""增强的训练流程"""
config = tf.ConfigProto()
config.gpu_options.allow_growth = True
with tf.Session(config=config) as sess:
sess.run(tf.global_variables_initializer())
# 动态学习率衰减
lr = 0.001
for epoch in range(epochs):
# 学习率衰减
if epoch % 20 == 0 and epoch != 0:
lr *= 0.5
try:
x_batch, y_batch = self.data_processor.get_train_test_data_new(
batch_size, train_data)
# 添加随机噪声增强数据
noise = np.random.normal(scale=0.01, size=x_batch.shape)
x_batch += noise
feed_dict = {
self.model.inputs: x_batch,
self.model.targets: y_batch,
self.model.keep_prob: 0.6
}
_, loss = sess.run([self.model.optimizer, self.model.loss],
feed_dict=feed_dict)
if epoch % 10 == 0:
print(f"Epoch {epoch}, Loss: {loss:.4f}")
except StopIteration:
print("Training completed")
break
# 保存完整模型
saver = tf.train.Saver()
saver.save(sess, "enhanced_stock_model.ckpt")
def evaluate(self, test_data):
"""增强的评估流程"""
with tf.Session() as sess:
saver = tf.train.Saver()
saver.restore(sess, "enhanced_stock_model.ckpt")
x_test, y_test = self.data_processor.get_train_test_data_new(
1000, test_data)
predictions = sess.run(self.model.predictions,
feed_dict={
self.model.inputs: x_test,
self.model.keep_prob: 1.0
})
# 计算夏普率
returns = predictions.flatten() - y_test.flatten()
sharpe = np.mean(returns) / (np.std(returns) + 1e-6)
print(f"Test Sharpe Ratio: {sharpe:.4f}")
#%% #################### 执行入口 ####################
if __name__ == "__main__":
# 初始化增强交易系统
trading_system = EnhancedTradingSystem()
# 数据准备阶段
raw_data_path = "origin_data.csv"
processed_data = trading_system.prepare_data(raw_data_path)
# 模型构建(输入维度需要根据实际特征数量调整)
num_genetic_factors = 3 # 对应turnover/volume/cir_market_value三个因子
time_steps = 60
input_dim = processed_data.shape[2] # 自动获取特征维度
trading_system.build_model(input_shape=(time_steps, input_dim),
num_factors=num_genetic_factors)
# 训练模型
trading_system.train("train_data.csv", epochs=200)
# 评估模型
trading_system.evaluate("test_data.csv")