diff --git a/md/about_details.html b/md/about_details.html new file mode 100644 index 000000000..d96aa98fe --- /dev/null +++ b/md/about_details.html @@ -0,0 +1,816 @@ + + + + + + + + + + + + + +about_details + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + +
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Overview

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This website presents the 2023 revision of the Wittgenstein Centre +population projections (Version 3), following the initial projections +(Version 1) in 2013 (Lutz, +Butz, and KC (Eds.) 2014) and the 2018 update (Version 2) (Lutz, +Goujon, KC, Stonawski, and, Stilianakis (Eds.) 2018). Further +details on the updates and the revisions can be found in KC et +al. (2024) and in other satellite papers focusing on the migration +component ([Yildiz and Abel 2024] (https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/19399/1/WP-24-001.pdf)), +the mortality component (Moradhvaj and KC 2024 - forthcoming), and the +fertility component (Adhikari et al. 2024 - forthcoming).

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In 2021, the Shared +Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) scenario community related to the +Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change requested an update of the +human core of the SSPs, which is at the origin of this version. This +updated version is based on 2020 as the reference year, with adjustments +to certain short-term assumptions extending to 2030. However, most +long-term assumptions have not been changed. Several changes were +nevertheless implemented particularly in estimating and using +country-specific education differentials in mortality and migration.

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This new version includes population projections by levels of +educational attainment from 2020 to 2100 for 200 countries according to +five scenarios (SSP1-5). The reconstruction will become available in the +course of 2024.

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Citation

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The suggested citation for data and plots from this website is:

+

Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital, (2023). +Wittgenstein Centre Data Explorer Version 3.0. Available at: http://www.wittgensteincentre.org/dataexplorer

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R package

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You may download data directly into + +using the wcde package. See the package +website +for further details.

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Credits

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Data Explorer Team at the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and +Global Human Capital:

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Concept and Coordination:

+ +

Data:

+ +

Web Interface:

+ +

Researchers who participated in the development of the +projections:

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+ + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + +
+M. Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi a + +Michel Guillot + +Richard G. Rogers +
+Guy J. Abel a + +Graeme Hugo + +Anna Rotkirch +
+Saroja Adhikari + +Gavin Jones + +Patrick Sabourin a +
+Alicia Adsera + +Sandra Jurasszovich + +Nikola Sander +
+Bilal F. Barakat + +Samir KC a + +Warren C. Sanderson a +
+Stuart Basten + +James K.S. + +Zeba Sathar +
+Ramon Bauer + +Siew-Ean Khoo + +Sergei Scherbov a +
+Jan Van Bavel + +Henri Leridon + +Bruno Schoumaker +
+Alain Bélanger + +Elke Loichinger + +David Shapiro +
+Donatien Beguy + +Marc Luy a + +Vegard Skirbekk +
+Caroline Berghammer a + +Wolfgang Lutz a + +Tomas Sobotka a +
+Ayla Bonfiglio + +Marija Mamolo a + +Markus Speringer +
+William P. Butz + +Guillaume Marois a + +Nikolaos Stilianakis +
+Graziella Caselli + +Douglas Massey + +Marcin Stonawski a +
+John Casterline + +Bruno Masquelier + +Erich Striessnig a +
+Teresa Castro-Martin + +John F. May + +Christian Wegner-Siegmundt +
+Minja Kim Choe + +Blessing Mberu + +Maria Rita Testa +
+Alessandra Conte + +France Meslé + +Olivier Thévenon +
+Moradhvaj Dhakad a + +Melinda Mills + +Edward Jow-Ching Tu +
+Sven Drefahl + +S. Philip Morgan + +Laura Wong +
+Rachel E. Durham + +Elsie Pamuk + +Marcus Wurzer +
+Jakob Eder + +Michaela Potančoková a + +Brenda Yepez-Martinez +
+Regina Fuchs + +Wendy Vanesa Ramírez González a + +Dilek Yildiz a +
+Tomas Frejka + +Claudia Reiter a + +Sam Hyun Yoo +
+Alessandra Garbero + +Ronald R. Rindfuss + +Cuiling Zhang +
+Michel Garenne + +Fernando Riosmena + +Krystof Zeman a +
+Anne Goujon a + +Louis Rosero-Bixby + +Zhongwei Zhao +
+Erofili Grapsa + +Arodys Robles +
+a Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital +
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Web interface built using:

+ +

Additional R packages used for data manipulations and +visualisation:

+ +
+ + + + +
+ + + + + + + + + + + + + + + diff --git a/md/about_details.md b/md/about_details.md index 0df221956..af26f4c2a 100644 --- a/md/about_details.md +++ b/md/about_details.md @@ -1,17 +1,16 @@ ### Overview -This website presents a set of different scenarios of future population and human capital trends in 201 countries of the world to 2100. The result of the population projections by levels of educational attainment were published in 2018 in Lutz, Goujon, KC, Stonawski, and Stilianakis (Eds.) (2018). They provide an update of the projections (scope, coverage and quality) presented in Lutz, Butz and KC in 2014, based on the work of a large team of researchers at the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital and at other institutions. +This website presents the 2023 revision of the Wittgenstein Centre population projections (Version 3), following the initial projections (Version 1) in 2013 ([Lutz, Butz, and KC (Eds.) 2014)](https://global.oup.com/academic/product/world-population-and-human-capital-in-the-twenty-first-century-9780198703167?cc=at&lang=en&) and the 2018 update (Version 2) ([Lutz, Goujon, KC, Stonawski, and, Stilianakis (Eds.) 2018](https://op.europa.eu/en/publication-detail/-/publication/e1853ba8-4444-11e8-a9f4-01aa75ed71a1/language-en)). Further details on the updates and the revisions can be found in KC et al. (2024) and in other satellite papers focusing on the migration component ([Yildiz and Abel 2024] (https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/19399/1/WP-24-001.pdf)), the mortality component (Moradhvaj and KC 2024 - forthcoming), and the fertility component (Adhikari et al. 2024 - forthcoming). -The present version (2.0) benefited from the partnership with the Joint Research Centre in the Centre of Expertise on Population and Migration (CEPAM). On top of the assumptions about future trends in fertility, mortality, and education, the projections study the effect of several migration assumptions applied to the context of the set of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) scenarios related to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). +In 2021, [the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) scenario community](https://data.ece.iiasa.ac.at/ssp/) related to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change requested an update of the human core of the SSPs, which is at the origin of this version. This updated version is based on 2020 as the reference year, with adjustments to certain short-term assumptions extending to 2030. However, most long-term assumptions have not been changed. Several changes were nevertheless implemented particularly in estimating and using country-specific education differentials in mortality and migration. -The new version also includes the reconstruction of population by levels of educational attainment from 1950 to 2015 for 185 countries. More information in Speringer et al. 2019. +This new version includes population projections by levels of educational attainment from 2020 to 2100 for 200 countries according to five scenarios (SSP1-5). The reconstruction will become available in the course of 2024. ### Citation The suggested citation for data and plots from this website is: -Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital, (2018). *Wittgenstein Centre Data Explorer Version 2.0.* Available at: http://www.wittgensteincentre.org/dataexplorer - +Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital, (2023). *Wittgenstein Centre Data Explorer Version 3.0.* Available at: ### R package @@ -23,33 +22,30 @@ Data Explorer Team at the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Ca Concept and Coordination: -* Guy J. Abel - -* Claudia Reiter +- [Guy J. Abel](https://iiasa.ac.at/staff/guy-abel) -* Dilek Yildiz - -* Anne Goujon +- [Dilek Yildiz](https://iiasa.ac.at/staff/dilek-yildiz) +- [Anne Goujon](https://iiasa.ac.at/staff/anne-goujon) Data: -* Samir K.C. +- [Samir K.C.](https://iiasa.ac.at/staff/samir-kc) Web Interface: -* Guy J. Abel - -* Bernhard Rengs +- [Guy J. Abel](https://iiasa.ac.at/staff/guy-abel) +- [Bernhard Rengs](https://www.oeaw.ac.at/vid/people/staff/bernhard-rengs) Researchers who participated in the development of the projections: +
- + @@ -59,148 +55,151 @@ Researchers who participated in the development of the projections: - + - + - + - - + + - + - + - + - - + + - + - - + + - - + + + + + + + - + - + - + - + - + - + - + - + - + - + - + - + - - - + + + + + + + + - + - + - + - + - + - - - -
M. Jalal Abbasi-ShavaziM. Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi a Michel Guillot Richard G. Rogers
Anna Rotkirch
Alicia AdseraSaroja Adhikari Gavin JonesPatrick Sabourin a, bPatrick Sabourin a
Bilal F. Barakat aAlicia Adsera Sandra Jurasszovich Nikola Sander
Stuart BastenSamir K.C. aBilal F. BarakatSamir KC a Warren C. Sanderson a
Ramon BauerStuart Basten James K.S. Zeba Sathar
Jan Van BavelRamon Bauer Siew-Ean Khoo Sergei Scherbov a
Alain Bélanger a, bJan Van Bavel Henri Leridon Bruno Schoumaker
Donatien BeguyElke Loichinger aAlain BélangerElke Loichinger David Shapiro
Caroline Berghammer aDonatien Beguy Marc Luy a Vegard Skirbekk
Ayla BonfiglioWolfgang Lutz a, bCaroline Berghammer aWolfgang Lutz a Tomas Sobotka a
William P. ButzGuillaume Marois a, bAyla BonfiglioMarija Mamolo a Markus Speringer
William P. ButzGuillaume Marois aNikolaos Stilianakis
Graziella Caselli Douglas MasseyNikolaos Stilianakis bMarcin Stonawski a
John Casterline Bruno MasquelierMarcin Stonawski a, bErich Striessnig a
Teresa Castro-Martin John F. MayErich Striessnig aChristian Wegner-Siegmundt
Minja Kim Choe Blessing MberuChristian Wegner-Siegmundt aMaria Rita Testa
Alessandra Conte bAlessandra Conte France MesléMaria Rita Testa aOlivier Thévenon
Sven DrefahlMoradhvaj Dhakad a Melinda MillsOlivier ThévenonEdward Jow-Ching Tu
Rachel E. DurhamSven Drefahl S. Philip MorganEdward Jow-Ching TuLaura Wong
Jakob EderRachel E. Durham Elsie PamukLaura WongMarcus Wurzer
Regina Fuchs Michaela Potančoková a, bMarcus WurzerJakob EderMichaela Potančoková aBrenda Yepez-Martinez
Regina FuchsWendy Vanesa Ramírez González aDilek Yildiz a
Tomas Frejka Claudia Reiter aBrenda Yepez-MartinezSam Hyun Yoo
Alessandra Garbero Ronald R. RindfussDilek Yildiz aCuiling Zhang
Michel Garenne Fernando RiosmenaSam Hyun YooKrystof Zeman a
Anne Goujon a Louis Rosero-BixbyKryštof Zeman aZhongwei Zhao
Erofili Grapsa bErofili Grapsa Arodys RoblesZhongwei Zhao
a Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital
b Centre of Expertise on Population and Migration (CEPAM), Joint Research Center
+Web interface built using: - -Web interface built using: - -* shiny: Chang, W., Cheng J., Allaire, J.J., Xie, Y. & McPherson, J. (2018). shiny: Web Application Framework for R. R package version 1.1.0 - +- shiny: Chang, W., Cheng J., Allaire, J.J., Xie, Y. & McPherson, J. (2018). shiny: Web Application Framework for R. R package version 1.1.0 Additional R packages used for data manipulations and visualisation: -* dplyr: Wickham, H., Francois, R., Henry, L. and Müller K. (2018). dplyr: A Grammar of Data Manipulation. R package version 0.7.6. -* googleVis: Gesmann, M., & de Castillo, D. (2011). Using the Google visualisation API with R. *The R Journal*, 3(2), 40-44. -* magrittr: Bache, S.M. & Wickham, H. (2015). magrittr: A Forward-Pipe Operator for R. R package version 1.5 -* markdown: Allaire, J.J., Horner, J., Marti, V. & Porte, N. (2015). markdown: Markdown rendering for R. R package version 0.7.4 -* tidyr: Wickham, H. & Henry, L. (2018). tidyr: Easily Tidy Data with 'spread()' and 'gather()' Functions. R package version 0.8.1. -* saves: Daróczi, G. (2013). saves: Fast load variables. R package version 0.5 -* webshot: Chang, W. (2017). webshot: Take Screenshots of Web Pages. R package version 0.5 +- dplyr: Wickham, H., Francois, R., Henry, L. and Müller K. (2018). dplyr: A Grammar of Data Manipulation. R package version 0.7.6. +- googleVis: Gesmann, M., & de Castillo, D. (2011). Using the Google visualisation API with R. *The R Journal*, 3(2), 40-44. +- magrittr: Bache, S.M. & Wickham, H. (2015). magrittr: A Forward-Pipe Operator for R. R package version 1.5 +- markdown: Allaire, J.J., Horner, J., Marti, V. & Porte, N. (2015). markdown: Markdown rendering for R. R package version 0.7.4 +- tidyr: Wickham, H. & Henry, L. (2018). tidyr: Easily Tidy Data with 'spread()' and 'gather()' Functions. R package version 0.8.1. +- saves: Daróczi, G. (2013). saves: Fast load variables. R package version 0.5 +- webshot: Chang, W. (2017). webshot: Take Screenshots of Web Pages. R package version 0.5 diff --git a/md/about_edu.md b/md/about_edu.md index 0a5b091e3..3388e96e0 100644 --- a/md/about_edu.md +++ b/md/about_edu.md @@ -1,4 +1,6 @@ For further details see: +* KC et al. (2024). Updating the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) Global Population and Human Capital Projections. *IIASA Working Paper*. + * Speringer et al. (2019). Global Reconstruction of Educational Attainment, 1950 to 2015: Methodology and Assessment. (VID Working Paper 02/2019). *Vienna, Austria: Vienna Institute of Demography (VID/OÄAW)*. diff --git a/md/about_scenario.md b/md/about_scenario.md index bb8c94ee9..103ddbea0 100644 --- a/md/about_scenario.md +++ b/md/about_scenario.md @@ -1,6 +1,8 @@ For further details see: +* KC et al. (2024). Updating the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) Global Population and Human Capital Projections. *IIASA Working Paper*. + * O'Neill, B.C., Kriegler, E., Ebi, K.L., Kemp-Benedict, E., Riahi, K. (2014). The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century. *Global Environmental Change*. * Riahi, K., van Vuuren, D.P., Kriegler, E., Edmonds, J., O'Neill, B.C., Fujimori, S. et al (2017). The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview. *Global Environmental Change*. diff --git a/md/credits_list b/md/credits_list new file mode 100644 index 000000000..a45d114b1 --- /dev/null +++ b/md/credits_list @@ -0,0 +1,149 @@ + +
+ + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + +
M. Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi aMichel GuillotRichard G. Rogers
Guy J. Abel aGraeme HugoAnna Rotkirch
Saroja AdhikariGavin JonesPatrick Sabourin a
Alicia AdseraSandra JurasszovichNikola Sander
Bilal F. BarakatSamir KC aWarren C. Sanderson a
Stuart BastenJames K.S.Zeba Sathar
Ramon BauerSiew-Ean KhooSergei Scherbov a
Jan Van BavelHenri LeridonBruno Schoumaker
Alain BélangerElke LoichingerDavid Shapiro
Donatien BeguyMarc Luy aVegard Skirbekk
Caroline Berghammer aWolfgang Lutz aTomas Sobotka a
Ayla BonfiglioMarija Mamolo aMarkus Speringer
William P. ButzGuillaume Marois aNikolaos Stilianakis
Graziella CaselliDouglas MasseyMarcin Stonawski a
John CasterlineBruno MasquelierErich Striessnig a
Teresa Castro-MartinJohn F. MayChristian Wegner-Siegmundt
Minja Kim ChoeBlessing MberuMaria Rita Testa
Alessandra ConteFrance MesléOlivier Thévenon
Moradhvaj Dhakad aMelinda MillsEdward Jow-Ching Tu
Sven DrefahlS. Philip MorganLaura Wong
Rachel E. DurhamElsie PamukMarcus Wurzer
Jakob EderMichaela Potančoková aBrenda Yepez-Martinez
Regina FuchsWendy Vanesa Ramírez González aDilek Yildiz a
Tomas FrejkaClaudia Reiter aSam Hyun Yoo
Alessandra GarberoRonald R. RindfussCuiling Zhang
Michel GarenneFernando RiosmenaKryštof Zeman a
Anne Goujon aLouis Rosero-BixbyZhongwei Zhao
Erofili GrapsaArodys Robles
a Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital
+
\ No newline at end of file diff --git a/md/intro_about.md b/md/intro_about.md index c60ffc4c5..dbc5551ee 100644 --- a/md/intro_about.md +++ b/md/intro_about.md @@ -1,8 +1,2 @@ -Further Details +This section will not have intro =============== - -More detailed information on how to use this web application. Further reading on the data from the global population projections by age, sex and education is provided in Lutz, Goujon, KC, Stonawski, and Stilianakis (Eds.) (2018) and in Speringer et al. (2019) for the reconstruction. - -The data in the Data Explorer is slightly different from the data published in Lutz, Goujon, KC, Stonawski, and Stilianakis (Eds.) (2018) due to later data adjustments in the course of validating the Data Explorer 2.0, resulting in minor changes to the projections. - -Further features about the methodology can be found in Lutz, Butz, and K.C. (2014). diff --git a/md/intro_data.md b/md/intro_data.md index c8a230214..8a813a8c2 100644 --- a/md/intro_data.md +++ b/md/intro_data.md @@ -1,5 +1,4 @@ Wittgenstein Centre
Human Capital Data Explorer ===================================================== -Explore, select and download data on past reconstructions and future projections of the global population by age, sex and education, published in Lutz, Goujon, KC, Stonawski, and Stilianakis (Eds.) (2018) . - +Explore, select, and download data on the 2023 update of the projections (and past reconstructions - forthcoming) of the global population by age, sex, and education, published in KC et al. (2024). \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/md/intro_data_2018.txt b/md/intro_data_2018.txt new file mode 100644 index 000000000..c8a230214 --- /dev/null +++ b/md/intro_data_2018.txt @@ -0,0 +1,5 @@ +Wittgenstein Centre
Human Capital Data Explorer +===================================================== + +Explore, select and download data on past reconstructions and future projections of the global population by age, sex and education, published in Lutz, Goujon, KC, Stonawski, and Stilianakis (Eds.) (2018) . + diff --git a/md/intro_graphic.md b/md/intro_graphic.md index 81417305f..b49f94cbb 100644 --- a/md/intro_graphic.md +++ b/md/intro_graphic.md @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ Wittgenstein Centre
Human Capital Graphic Explorer ======================================================== -Explore, visualise and download graphics on past reconstructions and future projections of the global population by age, sex and education, published in Lutz, Goujon, KC, Stonawski, and Stilianakis (Eds.) (2018) . +Explore, select, and download data on the 2023 update of the projections (and past reconstructions - forthcoming) of the global population by age, sex, and education, published in KC et al. (2024). diff --git a/meta/Book1.xlsx b/meta/Book1.xlsx new file mode 100644 index 000000000..04da49dbc Binary files /dev/null and b/meta/Book1.xlsx differ diff --git a/meta/To do (3)_ag.xlsx b/meta/To do (3)_ag.xlsx new file mode 100644 index 000000000..147221aff Binary files /dev/null and b/meta/To do (3)_ag.xlsx differ diff --git a/meta/To do.xlsx b/meta/To do.xlsx new file mode 100644 index 000000000..75ecf6816 Binary files /dev/null and b/meta/To do.xlsx differ diff --git a/meta/faq.xlsx b/meta/faq.xlsx index ddfed7a38..0a94ce2c9 100644 Binary files a/meta/faq.xlsx and b/meta/faq.xlsx differ diff --git a/meta/faq2018.xlsx b/meta/faq2018.xlsx new file mode 100644 index 000000000..cf9a91a0e Binary files /dev/null and b/meta/faq2018.xlsx differ