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[skills-eval] dotnet-test-migration: 5 skills, 60% pass β€” 1 P0, 1 P1, 1 to strengthen, 2 keepΒ #900

Description

@AbhitejJohn

πŸ”„ EDITED 2026-07-19 β€” correction per #909

This finding has been revised. The errored trials that drove the FIX-RELIABILITY (P0) flag(s) below were shown in #909 to be judge-side infrastructure failures β€” a disabled/throttled PAT (CAPIError 400 organization disabled) and Vally's session.idle judge timeout β€” not fixture nondeterminism. Verdict scores already exclude errored trials, so re-running the classifier with those judge errors dropped reclassifies the affected skill(s):

Skill Was Now
migrate-xunit-to-mstest FIX-RELIABILITY (P0) TRIM-COST (P1)

Struck-through text below is the superseded finding β€” in particular the "pin fixture SDK/tool versions" remediation does not apply. The title's P0 count has been updated. No eval re-run is required to correct the scores; recovering the lost judgments (optional) means re-judging those trials, not re-running the skill.

Context β€” cross-family skill evaluation: dotnet-test-migration

This issue is self-contained: it captures everything a skill author needs to act on the dotnet-test-migration plugin without opening the full report.

What this measures. Every runnable skill in dotnet/skills was run through Vally (0.7) on a cross-family matrix: 5 executor model families β€” opus-4.8, gpt-5.5, sonnet-4.6, haiku-4.5, mai-flash β€” each judged by a different family (judge β‰  executor; default judge = latest Opus, or GPT when Opus is the executor). For every skill, a skilled run is compared against a baseline (no-skill) run and scored per executor. This removes single-model and self-judging bias, so a skill that only helps one model family β€” or only its own family's judge β€” is visible.

  • Data source: cross-family CI grid (run 29228914412 + backfills) β€” 5 executors Γ— 85 runnable skills, 419 scored cells over 84 skills.
  • Row grain: one row per skill, aggregated across its (up to 5) executor cells. avgN is the mean trial count behind the cells (trials 1–17; higher = more statistically trustworthy). thin-N flags directional-only rows.

dotnet-test-migration at a glance (portfolio scorecard)

Plugin Skills Cells Pass Impact Tie-trials Err avg Ξ”Tok avg Ξ”Turns avg Ξ”Tools Headline
dotnet-test-migration 4 20 60% 0.365 39 3 βˆ’6,971 βˆ’1.77 βˆ’2.69 Efficient wins, but high ties + 3 errors

Insights. 5 skill(s); mean impact 0.36; 3/4 help β‰₯1 frontier model. Exemplars (win incl. frontier): migrate-vstest-to-mtp, migrate-xunit-to-xunit-v3.

Address first: migrate-xunit-to-mstest β€” reliability; migrate-mstest-v3-to-v4 β€” harness drop (no verdict).

Address first: migrate-mstest-v3-to-v4 β€” harness drop (no verdict); migrate-xunit-to-mstest β€” cost (P1). (migrate-xunit-to-mstest reclassified from reliability β€” see EDIT above.)

How to read the table

Each skill is scored skilled vs. baseline on these axes:

Signal Column What it means Good
Breadth Families βœ“ (n/5) How many of the 5 model families the skill helps (per-family pass count, max 5/5) 4–5 / 5
Where Passed on Which families passed. Frontier = latest Opus + latest GPT are bold; Sonnet 4.6 / Haiku 4.5 / MAI Flash are mid/low-weight frontier βœ“
Magnitude Impact (βˆ’1…+1) How strongly the judge prefers skilled over baseline β‰₯ 0.4
Decisiveness Tiesβ–΅ Trials where the judge saw no difference β†’ skill is inert low
Safety Lossβ–΅ Trials where skilled was WORSE than baseline β†’ skill misfires ~0
Reliability Err Trials that errored/crashed in setup or judging 0
Efficiency Ξ”Tok / Ξ”Turns / Ξ”Tools Extra tokens / agent turns / tool calls vs baseline ≀ 0
Confidence avgN Mean trials behind the verdict; low N = directional only β‰₯ 3
Invocation Call% Share of skilled trials where the model actually invoked the skill ~100%

Families βœ“ is cell-level (max 5/5); Tiesβ–΅/Lossβ–΅ are trial-level tallies summed across all families (including the ones where the skill failed). A high Families βœ“ next to non-zero Lossβ–΅ is not a contradiction β€” see Passed on and the Action text for where losses landed.

Action buckets (each skill has one primary action; [flags] note secondary concerns):

Bucket Priority Meaning
FIX-RELIABILITY πŸ”΄ P0 Errored trials / no verdict β€” stabilize the harness before trusting the score
FIX-DISCOVERY πŸ”΄ P0 Model doesn't invoke it (Call% < 50%) β€” a triggering/description problem
FIX-REGRESSION πŸ”΄ P0 Skilled is worse than baseline on many trials β€” the skill misfires
ADD-DECISIVENESS 🟠 P1 Called ~100% but ties dominate, ~0 impact β€” inert; needs sharper behavioral steps
TRIM-COST 🟠 P1 Passes but with heavy token/turn overhead β€” trim verbosity
EXEMPLAR 🟒 keep Broad, strong, reliable win β€” use as a template
EFFICIENT-WIN 🟒 protect Wins and cuts turns/tools β€” the ideal shape
KEEP-POLISH 🟒 Solid majority win; minor polish + more trials
STRENGTHEN 🟑 P2 Marginal/mixed lift β€” sharpen triggers & success criteria

Per-skill actions

Skill Families βœ“ Passed on (frontier bold) Impact Tiesβ–΅ Lossβ–΅ Err avgN Call% Ξ”Tok Ξ”Turns Ξ”Tools Action
migrate-vstest-to-mtp 4/5 GPT, Sonnet, Haiku, MAI 0.55 3 7 0 11 95% -25,612 -2.11 -3.71 EXEMPLAR Β· βœ… Template-worthy. What's good: broad (passes 4/5, incl. frontier GPT); cheaper (2.11 turns, 3.71 tools, 25,612 tok). Keep as-is; lift its structure (crisp triggers + imperative steps) into weaker siblings. ⚠️ Caveat: frontier miss on Opus β€” confirm it isn't only lifting weaker models on cases frontier already handles. ([frontier-miss], [efficient])
migrate-xunit-to-xunit-v3 4/5 GPT, Sonnet, Haiku, MAI 0.45 11 6 0 12 100% -68,917 -3.22 -4.07 EXEMPLAR Β· βœ… Template-worthy. What's good: broad (passes 4/5, incl. frontier GPT); cheaper (3.22 turns, 4.07 tools, 68,917 tok). Keep as-is; lift its structure (crisp triggers + imperative steps) into weaker siblings. ⚠️ Caveat: frontier miss on Opus β€” confirm it isn't only lifting weaker models on cases frontier already handles. ([frontier-miss], [efficient])
migrate-xunit-to-mstest 3/5 Opus, Sonnet, Haiku 0.26 15 6 3 11.4 100% +151,598 +2.28 +2.81 FIX-RELIABILITY Β· πŸ”΄ 3 errored trial(s) β€” verdict can't be trusted until setup is deterministic. This is an infra/harness fix, not a content one: (1) capture the failing trial's stderr; (2) pin tool/SDK versions in the fixture; (3) add a setup smoke-check before scoring. ([reliability], [frontier-miss], [costly])

πŸ”„ EDIT (see #909): TRIM-COST Β· 🟠 Passes 3/5 (Opus, Sonnet, Haiku) but heavy (+151,598 tok, +2.28 turns). The 3 errored trials were judge-side session.idle timeouts (gpt Γ—2, haiku), not fixture flakiness β€” the real action is cost-trimming, not harness reliability. ([frontier-miss], [costly])
migrate-mstest-v1v2-to-v3 1/5 Haiku 0.20 10 8 0 8.8 93% -84,953 -4.04 -5.82 STRENGTHEN Β· 🟑 Marginal/mixed (passes 1/5 β€” Haiku). Diagnosis: mostly ties β€” too generic/non-prescriptive. Try: (1) sharpen the trigger so it fires only where it wins; (2) add 1–2 opinionated, concrete steps that change behaviour; (3) add trials to separate signal from noise. If frontier models never benefit, scope it explicitly to weaker models or reconsider its value. ([both-frontier-miss])
migrate-mstest-v3-to-v4 β€” β€” β€” β€” β€” β€” β€” 93% β€” β€” β€” FIX-RELIABILITY (infra) Β· called 93% of trials but no verdict emitted β€” judge/scoring-side drop.

Generated from the cross-family Call-to-Action report (CALL-TO-ACTION.md Β§4–§5; companion IMPACT-ANALYSIS.md). Regenerate the underlying tables with node deep-metrics.mjs "$env:TEMP\cf-ci" agg-ci β†’ node gen-cta-tables.mjs agg-ci. Numbers are directional where avgN is low; treat single-trial cells as hypotheses to confirm with more runs.

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