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[skills-eval] dotnet-blazor: 9 skills, 36% pass — 1 P0, 1 P1, 5 to strengthen, 2 keep #891

Description

@AbhitejJohn

🔄 EDITED 2026-07-19 — correction per #909

This finding has been revised. The errored trials that drove the FIX-RELIABILITY (P0) flag(s) below were shown in #909 to be judge-side infrastructure failures — a disabled/throttled PAT (CAPIError 400 organization disabled) and Vally's session.idle judge timeout — not fixture nondeterminism. Verdict scores already exclude errored trials, so re-running the classifier with those judge errors dropped reclassifies the affected skill(s):

Skill Was Now
configure-auth FIX-RELIABILITY (P0) EFFICIENT-WIN (keep)

Struck-through text below is the superseded finding — in particular the "pin fixture SDK/tool versions" remediation does not apply. The title's P0 count has been updated. No eval re-run is required to correct the scores; recovering the lost judgments (optional) means re-judging those trials, not re-running the skill.

Context — cross-family skill evaluation: dotnet-blazor

This issue is self-contained: it captures everything a skill author needs to act on the dotnet-blazor plugin without opening the full report.

What this measures. Every runnable skill in dotnet/skills was run through Vally (0.7) on a cross-family matrix: 5 executor model families — opus-4.8, gpt-5.5, sonnet-4.6, haiku-4.5, mai-flash — each judged by a different family (judge ≠ executor; default judge = latest Opus, or GPT when Opus is the executor). For every skill, a skilled run is compared against a baseline (no-skill) run and scored per executor. This removes single-model and self-judging bias, so a skill that only helps one model family — or only its own family's judge — is visible.

  • Data source: cross-family CI grid (run 29228914412 + backfills) — 5 executors × 85 runnable skills, 419 scored cells over 84 skills.
  • Row grain: one row per skill, aggregated across its (up to 5) executor cells. avgN is the mean trial count behind the cells (trials 1–17; higher = more statistically trustworthy). thin-N flags directional-only rows.

dotnet-blazor at a glance (portfolio scorecard)

Plugin Skills Cells Pass Impact Tie-trials Err avg ΔTok avg ΔTurns avg ΔTools Headline
dotnet-blazor 9 45 36% 0.368 18 1 +42,425 +0.78 +1.53 Costly (plan-ui-change +408k); mixed

Insights. 9 skill(s); mean impact 0.37; 3/9 help ≥1 frontier model. No frontier-validated exemplar. Weak-model-only wins (frontier misses): use-js-interop. Weakest: support-prerendering (0.12).

Address first: configure-auth — reliability; support-prerendering — regression; plan-ui-change — cost.

Address first: support-prerendering — regression; plan-ui-change — cost. (configure-auth reclassified out of P0 — see EDIT above.)

How to read the table

Each skill is scored skilled vs. baseline on these axes:

Signal Column What it means Good
Breadth Families ✓ (n/5) How many of the 5 model families the skill helps (per-family pass count, max 5/5) 4–5 / 5
Where Passed on Which families passed. Frontier = latest Opus + latest GPT are bold; Sonnet 4.6 / Haiku 4.5 / MAI Flash are mid/low-weight frontier ✓
Magnitude Impact (−1…+1) How strongly the judge prefers skilled over baseline ≥ 0.4
Decisiveness Ties▵ Trials where the judge saw no difference → skill is inert low
Safety Loss▵ Trials where skilled was WORSE than baseline → skill misfires ~0
Reliability Err Trials that errored/crashed in setup or judging 0
Efficiency ΔTok / ΔTurns / ΔTools Extra tokens / agent turns / tool calls vs baseline ≤ 0
Confidence avgN Mean trials behind the verdict; low N = directional only ≥ 3
Invocation Call% Share of skilled trials where the model actually invoked the skill ~100%

Families ✓ is cell-level (max 5/5); Ties▵/Loss▵ are trial-level tallies summed across all families (including the ones where the skill failed). A high Families ✓ next to non-zero Loss▵ is not a contradiction — see Passed on and the Action text for where losses landed.

Action buckets (each skill has one primary action; [flags] note secondary concerns):

Bucket Priority Meaning
FIX-RELIABILITY 🔴 P0 Errored trials / no verdict — stabilize the harness before trusting the score
FIX-DISCOVERY 🔴 P0 Model doesn't invoke it (Call% < 50%) — a triggering/description problem
FIX-REGRESSION 🔴 P0 Skilled is worse than baseline on many trials — the skill misfires
ADD-DECISIVENESS 🟠 P1 Called ~100% but ties dominate, ~0 impact — inert; needs sharper behavioral steps
TRIM-COST 🟠 P1 Passes but with heavy token/turn overhead — trim verbosity
EXEMPLAR 🟢 keep Broad, strong, reliable win — use as a template
EFFICIENT-WIN 🟢 protect Wins and cuts turns/tools — the ideal shape
KEEP-POLISH 🟢 Solid majority win; minor polish + more trials
STRENGTHEN 🟡 P2 Marginal/mixed lift — sharpen triggers & success criteria

Per-skill actions

Skill Families ✓ Passed on (frontier bold) Impact Ties▵ Loss▵ Err avgN Call% ΔTok ΔTurns ΔTools Action
plan-ui-change 4/5 GPT, Sonnet, Haiku, MAI 0.54 1 1 0 5 100% +407,812 +8.68 +10.24 TRIM-COST · 🟠 Passes but heavy (+407,812 tok). Value is real; cost isn't justified. Trim: (1) cut redundant/whole-file reads — point to specific sections; (2) replace "explore everything" with a targeted checklist; (3) move deep reference material behind links instead of inlining it. ([frontier-miss], [costly])
coordinate-components 2/5 GPT, Sonnet 0.48 2 1 0 2 100% +121,041 +3.3 +3.7 STRENGTHEN · 🟡 Marginal/mixed (passes 2/5 — GPT, Sonnet). Diagnosis: mostly ties — too generic/non-prescriptive. Try: (1) sharpen the trigger so it fires only where it wins; (2) add 1–2 opinionated, concrete steps that change behaviour; (3) add trials to separate signal from noise. ([frontier-miss], [frontier-regressed], [costly])
create-blazor-project 0/5 0.45 0 2 0 3 100% -392,992 -6.93 -4.47 STRENGTHEN · 🟡 Marginal/mixed (passes 0/5). Diagnosis: misses both frontier models — likely assumes context they solve unaided. Try: (1) sharpen the trigger so it fires only where it wins; (2) add 1–2 opinionated, concrete steps that change behaviour; (3) add trials to separate signal from noise. If frontier models never benefit, scope it explicitly to weaker models or reconsider its value. ([both-frontier-miss])
configure-auth 2/5 Haiku, MAI 0.44 3 1 1 1.8 100% +92,263 -0.9 -1.3 FIX-RELIABILITY · 🔴 1 errored trial(s) — verdict can't be trusted until setup is deterministic. This is an infra/harness fix, not a content one: (1) capture the failing trial's stderr; (2) pin tool/SDK versions in the fixture; (3) add a setup smoke-check before scoring. ([reliability], [both-frontier-miss], [frontier-regressed], [efficient])

🔄 EDIT (see #909): EFFICIENT-WIN · ✅ Better and cheaper — wins on Haiku, MAI while saving 0.9 turns / 1.3 tools (weak-model win; both frontier models miss/regress, so don't template blindly). The 1 errored trial was a judge-side session.idle timeout (haiku), not fixture nondeterminism. ([both-frontier-miss], [frontier-regressed], [efficient])
author-component 2/5 GPT, MAI 0.43 2 0 0 3.8 100% +78,872 +3.46 +4.39 STRENGTHEN · 🟡 Marginal/mixed (passes 2/5 — GPT, MAI). Diagnosis: mostly ties — too generic/non-prescriptive. Try: (1) sharpen the trigger so it fires only where it wins; (2) add 1–2 opinionated, concrete steps that change behaviour; (3) add trials to separate signal from noise. ([frontier-miss])
use-js-interop 2/5 Sonnet, Haiku 0.38 2 2 0 3.8 85% -20,440 -1.17 -1.57 EFFICIENT-WIN · ✅ Better and cheaper. Wins on Sonnet, Haiku while saving 1.17 turns, 1.57 tools, 20,440 tok. What's good: it adds value without bloat — the ideal shape. Protect the brevity; don't let it grow. ⚠️ But both frontier models miss — this may only be helping mid/low-weight models. Treat as a weak-model win, not a universal one; check the frontier trajectories before templating. ([both-frontier-miss], [efficient])
collect-user-input 2/5 Sonnet, MAI 0.24 2 1 0 2 90% +55,008 +0.5 +1.4 STRENGTHEN · 🟡 Marginal/mixed (passes 2/5 — Sonnet, MAI). Diagnosis: mostly ties — too generic/non-prescriptive. Try: (1) sharpen the trigger so it fires only where it wins; (2) add 1–2 opinionated, concrete steps that change behaviour; (3) add trials to separate signal from noise. If frontier models never benefit, scope it explicitly to weaker models or reconsider its value. ([both-frontier-miss], [frontier-regressed])
fetch-and-send-data 1/5 Sonnet 0.22 4 1 0 2 70% +87,601 +3.7 +5.7 STRENGTHEN · 🟡 Marginal/mixed (passes 1/5 — Sonnet). Diagnosis: mostly ties — too generic/non-prescriptive. Try: (1) sharpen the trigger so it fires only where it wins; (2) add 1–2 opinionated, concrete steps that change behaviour; (3) add trials to separate signal from noise. If frontier models never benefit, scope it explicitly to weaker models or reconsider its value. ([both-frontier-miss], [frontier-regressed])
support-prerendering 1/5 Haiku 0.12 2 4 0 2 100% -47,342 -3.6 -4.3 FIX-REGRESSION · 🔴 Regresses ~40% of trials (worse than baseline), losing on GPT, Sonnet. The skill is over-applying. Fixes: (1) add explicit stop-conditions ("do NOT act when…"); (2) narrow the trigger to the exact scenario it helps; (3) demote prescriptive edits to suggestions the agent can decline. Prioritise the frontier miss (Opus, GPT). ([both-frontier-miss], [frontier-regressed])

Generated from the cross-family Call-to-Action report (CALL-TO-ACTION.md §4–§5; companion IMPACT-ANALYSIS.md). Regenerate the underlying tables with node deep-metrics.mjs "$env:TEMP\cf-ci" agg-cinode gen-cta-tables.mjs agg-ci. Numbers are directional where avgN is low; treat single-trial cells as hypotheses to confirm with more runs.

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