Jester is an event-sourced causal market-imagination engine. Its fixed pipeline is:
INGEST -> NORMALIZE -> PERCEIVE -> BELIEF -> INTERVENE -> SIMULATE
-> PRICE -> STRATEGIZE -> EVOLVE -> PROVE -> EXPORT
The deterministic Earnings Pack implements a vertical slice across all stages. The v0.2 meta-research plane operates over immutable pipeline artifacts; it does not modify the runtime that produced them. Learned generative models are optional model-family adapters and may activate only after accepted point-in-time training evidence, calibration, and independent validation exist.
Read-only API / CLI / signed candidate exporter
Proof Court / Holdability Gate / signature verifier
Idea Forge / Belief Exchange / quality-diversity archive
Dream Foundry / cognitive immune court / invention archive / failure museum
Game Arena / Market Society / option outcome field
Causal scenario lattice / market and volatility twins
Scuttlebutt claim graph / point-in-time world-state graph
Immutable evidence vault / event log / clocks / semantic RNG
Base artifact
-> explicit simulator and market-pack catalogs
-> social counterfactual ablation
-> competing causal-graph tournament
-> Levels 0-7 simulation ladder
-> bounded deterministic island evolution
-> bounded wake-dream-consolidate-awaken cognition
-> evidence-debt and falsification immune court
-> invention quality-diversity archive and failure museum
-> quality-diversity archive
-> prediction-before-outcome and interoception
-> authority-monotone budget controller
-> independent research gates
-> append-only research memory
The controller may only preserve or reduce a requested candidate budget. Evolution may change hypothesis genomes but every descendant is proposal-only until independently resimulated. Evaluators, sealed tests, source code, signing policy, and authority rules are protected targets.
Immutable hypothesis + failure library + causal disagreement
+ admitted zero-credit scientific cognition seeds
-> semantic selection from 24 typed cognitive operators
-> REM divergence
-> NREM semantic fingerprinting and compression
-> lucid counter-evidence plus hard-constraint reinstatement
-> awakening extraction of mechanism, countermechanism, and falsifiers
-> seven-check cognitive immune court
-> evidence-debt-aware multi-objective scoring
-> invention quality-diversity archive
-> museum of beautiful failures
-> independent resimulation proposal only
The cognition plane is generative research infrastructure, not an empirical model. It may create synthetic worlds and invention blueprints. It may not fabricate evidence, grant causal credit, mutate code or evaluators, alter gates, activate an adapter, construct an order, or increase authority. A dream temperature changes the number of composed cognitive operators only. The same semantic seed, parent artifact, budget, cycles, and temperature reproduce the same lineage and content hash. Later dream phases carry explicit parent-dream identities and recursive ablations; they refine a proposal lineage without modifying the runtime that generated it.
Simulator families are registered, never silently substituted. An adapter contract with missing data, implementation, or calibration is reported as blocked and contributes no empirical credit. Competing causal graphs are scored independently and expose disagreement.
| Level | Environment | Evidence class |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Exact replay | Mechanics |
| 1 | Historical perturbation | Mechanics |
| 2 | Regime-conditioned synthetic worlds | Mechanics |
| 3 | Causal intervention | Mechanics |
| 4 | Agent society | Mechanics |
| 5 | Adversarial worlds | Mechanics |
| 6 | Forward shadow | Point-in-time research |
| 7 | Bounded paper outcomes | Forward paper |
Passing a higher synthetic level never substitutes for missing Level 6 or 7 evidence.
Reviewed source query
-> versioned Atom metadata
-> point-in-time and category admission
-> immutable paper record
-> deterministic theme mapping
-> falsifiable research capsule
-> experiment proposal with zero empirical credit
-> append-only research memory
The implemented source is arXiv descriptive metadata. Full-text files are linked but not downloaded or mirrored. Crossref enrichment remains an adapter contract. Papers cannot activate simulators, mutate source, or bypass independent reproduction.
Permitted ranked-search export
-> explicit host and terms allowlist
-> robots.txt decision
-> metadata-only page fetch
-> immutable ranked attention snapshot
-> chronological churn/rank/metadata delta
-> social ablation and proof gates
Search prominence, Wikipedia pageviews, and web-crawl presence are distinct proxies. None is silently relabeled as query volume, user intent, or causal market demand. General search-engine HTML scraping, authentication, redirects, CAPTCHA bypass, and anti-bot evasion are prohibited.
The runtime stores content-addressed evidence and append-only indexes outside the source tree. Repository fixtures prove mechanics only and never certify market fidelity or predictive edge. The ordinary option lane rejects 0DTE contracts whose lifecycle crosses the permitted exit. A dedicated jump- and expiry-aware 0DTE pricer remains fail-closed and is not implemented in the first public vertical slice.
Jester registers source capability before connector implementation. A pipeline contract fixes:
identity + access mode + cadence
+ event/publication/availability/ingestion/revision clocks
+ retained fields + permissions
+ intelligence consumers + quality gates
+ activation requirements + limitations
The initial mesh covers official filing, macro-vintage, Treasury, regulatory-positioning, clinical-trial, patent, scholarly, public-attention, licensed-options, and licensed-order-book planes. Only immutable local artifacts, arXiv metadata, and admitted ranked-search metadata are operational. All other entries are visible adapter or licensing contracts and receive no data or model credit.
Intelligence services compose over admitted pipelines. Temporal fusion, entity resolution,
contradiction preservation, attention divergence, scientific-claim firewalls, causal-graph
committees, provenance-poisoning defense, and bounded active-research routing have deterministic
mechanics. Source calibration, revision surprise, cross-market transmission, the option-expression
critic, and simulation-gap direction remain gated by missing resolved or licensed evidence.
Every intelligence service has authority_effect=none.
The React 19 and Three.js interface consumes /observatory/bootstrap plus the catalog endpoints.
Its five inspectable modes are:
- World: orbitable causal topology with an accessible system-selector mirror.
- Options: joint moneyness/tenor/IV geometry and pathwise option failure table.
- Meta: quality-diversity niches, interoception, simulation ladder, and paper capsules.
- Dream: wake/dream/consolidation phases, 24 cognition operators, inventions, immune checks, evidence debt, and failure memory.
- Sources: filterable pipeline contracts and their composable intelligence mesh.
Charts have text or table equivalents, controls are keyboard reachable, touch targets meet the
mobile minimum, motion respects prefers-reduced-motion, and layouts are validated at desktop,
phone, and landscape breakpoints. The frontend is observability only; no API mutation or execution
route exists.
- Credential-free official sources may be fetched by reviewed connector classes.
- Market, options, transcript, and social evidence arrive through operator-staged manifests.
- Intelligence providers receive only records whose permission allows external processing.
- Candidate export is a signed file protocol. No external repository is imported.
- Read-only observability is exposed over localhost. Mutation remains CLI/config controlled.